What is a Scenario?
What is a Scenario?
A detailed and plausible view of how the future might unfold based on various assumptions and driving forces. The definition of a force, in this context, is any interaction that, when unopposed, will change the state of an organization. It can be a potential threat from a competitor or a new entrant, a possible substitute, or any other interaction that might challenge and change the status quo. Scenarios are used in strategic planning to explore different future possibilities and their implications for an organization. This helps in preparing for uncertainties and developing flexible, resilient strategies.
The eight inspiration questions reimaging the future of you organization:
If you could speak someone from the future who could tell you anything about [this venture], what would you like to ask?
If things went well, being optimistic but realistic, talk about what you would see as a desirable outcome.
If things went wrong, what factors would you worry about?
What needs to change (systems, relationships, decision making processes, culture for example) for things to go well?
Looking back, what are the successes we can build on? The failures we can learn from?
Looking forward, what do you see as priority actions which should be carried out soon?
If you had absolute authority and could do anything, is there anything else you would do?